Showing posts with label trade forex. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trade forex. Show all posts

Thursday, May 21, 2009

EUR/USD UP AND GO














EUR/USD crashed through resistance yesterday and never looked back, busting upwards almost 150 pips at its peak. With the fresh higher higher and higher low we are again looking at a steady uptrend and buying opportunities. Hourlies are close to overbought territory - which is normal in a strong trend - but we will look for dips to buy as those levels cool off. Nearest support levels are at 1.3720 and 1.3665.

Trading Idea: Looking to buy a bounce off of 1.3720, tight stops, targets at 1.3775 and 1.3830.

Saturday, April 25, 2009

EURUSD moves through intraday support













The EURUSD fell through the 100 bar moving average at 1.3256 on the 5 minute chart for the first time since 1:00 PM yesterday (broke above at 1.3041). The next level of support will come in at the 1.3230 (38.2%…

Bank Stress details released

  • BANKS’ ESTIMATES NOT NECESSARILY CONSISTENT WITH REGULATORS
  • BANKS TO BE TOLD TO HOLD BUFFER FOR LOSSES THROUGH 2011
  • SAYS CAPITAL BUFFER NEEDED ISN’T MEASURE OF SOLVENCY
  • TESTS REFLECT $900 BILLION OF OFF-BALANCE-SHEET ASSETS
  • BANKS SHOULDN’T BE SURPRISED AT THE RESULTS
  • SUPERVISORS TO ENSURE BANKS MAINTAIN…

Friday, April 17, 2009

EURO WEEK

The European Central Bank chief Friday brushed aside the view that the euro is weak, while saying that he is "very appreciative" of U.S. policymakers sticking to their strong dollar policy.

Jean-Claude Trichet also signaled that the bank may announce extraordinary measures for financial institutions at its next monetary policy meeting on May 7.

At a seminar held in Tokyo during a visit to Japan, Trichet said the view that the euro is weak "doesn't really seem to reflect the present situation."

"When we started the euro," he said, "the euro-dollar (exchange rate) was at $1.17; at the moment I'm speaking, we are at around something like $1.31."

"That being said," Trichet continued, "I am very, I would say, appreciative, of what is said by our U.S. friends Ben Bernanke, Tim Geithner and Barack Obama that indeed a strong dollar is in the interest of the United States of America."

Commenting on monetary policy, Trichet said, "Be sure that what we will decide will fully take into account the financing structure of the euro area economy and will be fully in line with our medium-term strategy."

Most observers expect the ECB, which some critics say has been insufficiently aggressive in cutting interest rates, to take its key rate down at least another quarter percentage point to 1.00% at the May meeting.

While remaining mum on interest rate inclinations, Trichet said he expects the European economy to continue struggling in the near term.

"The year of 2009 is a very difficult year, that's absolutely clear," Trichet said, adding that the continent has, like Japan, been hit by an "acceleration of phenomena."

Recovery would likely come "in the course of 2010," he said, sparked in part by the benefits of the low price level for oil and commodities, which he called both "disinflationary and expansionary."

Addressing the possibility of further non-standard monetary measures, Trichet stressed the centrality banks would continue to play in the European context.

Compared to the U.S., with its mainly "market-based financial system," Trichet said, in Europe "banks play such a dominant role (in providing credit to companies and consumers) that non-standard measures need to be implemented - first and foremost - through intervention and with the active participat

Monday, March 30, 2009

EURUSD support at 1.3092














The stock market has opened down 240 points and the dollar has been the beneficiary. The EURUSD has moved to new lows of the day at the 1.3128 level. The 1.3092-1.3097 level remains key support with the 100 day MA and the 50 % retracement level both at the area. I would expect good buying against this key support level this morning.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

USDJPY LONG RANGE













The longer term shows a seemly different picture. Since early March, the pair has been trending towards the 93.40 level which in the past has had multiple tests going back to November of 2008. The pair will need to break below the 95.50 area to give light to another test of this major support in the 93.40 level.

Its always a good idea to review the near term trends in the shorter charts and then to check the big picture perspective in the longer term charts like the daily.